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  1. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    I would guess it wouldn't apply to Disney's transportation based watercraft. In fact, i'm not even certain if this order would apply to Disney at all since they're not technically part of Orlando. This isn't the first time the city has closed off boat ramps, I think they did so after Ian as well...
  2. MerlinTheGoat

    DHS Monster Inc Land Coming to Disney's Hollywood Studios

    This seems consistent with Nintendo's policies regarding those characters, at least at the time this land was conceptualized. The early models of the DK area also had an area with an animatronic of one of the animal buddies from Rareware's original DKC trilogy- Ellie the Elephant. I don't...
  3. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    Aside from about a minute long blip, we have yet to lose power thankfully. The worst seems like it's over. Got really scary sounding. No trees down from what I was able to tell, but plenty of branches in the road. I won't get complacent about the power, lines may be weakened or loosened tree...
  4. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    WESH says 40-45 sustained winds now around Orlando, with gusts up into the 50s and 60s. Worst conditions said to be around 3-5 am think. After the eye passes, its rear side is apparently really violent. We'll see when power goes. Don't expect it to stay on throughout.
  5. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    There's a lot of footage of kids wading and swimming in flood water, so it's probably a warning for them. Or at least to their parents to tell their kids not to mess with it.
  6. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    WESH guy just gave his opinion that it's moving more north than the NHC track thinks. On the other hand, apparently rapidly weakening. Possibly faster than projected.
  7. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    I'll also note that while the NHC has the entrypoint to the south of Tampa Bay, most other models still have it making a direct hit into Tampa Bay. There's every possibility that the NHC is wrong. The modeling consensus at the moment have it going further north.
  8. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    Seminole County is above Orange and most of it is outside the cone, and even they are still forecast by the local news to receive hurricane force gusts of 75mph or more. Downtown Orlando is again still very much within the cone as of the 11am NHC update. Only the protruding northwestern corner...
  9. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    The newest 11am NHC cone? Doesn't look like it, unless i'm reading it wrong. It has shifted south, which is good for the area if it's a continuing trend, but almost all of Orange is still in the cone. Downtown Orlando is still very much inside it. Disney also isn't in downtown Orlando, it's...
  10. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    While it is predominantly Disney's fault for not outright closing the parks fully today, they wouldn't have any incentive to keep them open if there was no one wanting to visit to begin with. For every person who visits during this, Disney smells money and can't resist the taste. Cast members...
  11. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    Latest combined forecast for Orange, Seminole, Osceola and Polk from WESH- This is based on the current track released by the NHC, the peaks of these winds are projected to affect Osceola and Polk the worst. WDW would likely land in the middle of those ranges since it's basically dead center...
  12. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    The National Hurricane Center's track pushed it south so it hits land at Sarasota instead of Tampa Bay. That's the track all of the news channels are using, including the locals. This is also the one the Euro model is currently showing. That said, it should be noted that these are outliers as...
  13. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    Same Orange County forecast as earlier from WESH. Edit, and also WFTV.
  14. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    They make these hard to compare by not using a static map and shift it around and change the size every time. The newest NHC track looks like it calls for roughly the same entrypoint as the last one (Sarasota), and overall the same path through FL and same exit point. The cone however has...
  15. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    It's the local stations that have been discussing it, and the NOAA/NHC track is what they're using. Most of the other models i've seen are still showing entry into Tampa Bay though (and same track through Orlando). Two of the models that were previously showing an entry more south were EURO and...
  16. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    This grouped several counties together, but note that the highest of those winds are for Osceola and Polk. Orange and Seminole are forecast to have milder winds based off current projections. The NHC shifted their track a bit south around 5pm slightly away from Tampa. However, the latest GFS...
  17. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    Do you mean prior to landfall? No reputable source is saying it will intensify when it hits land in terms of wind speed. That isn't how they work. They will weaken to some extent, even if it's not as much as people hope. They don't become stronger when they hit land. I believe it's a Cat 5...
  18. MerlinTheGoat

    Hurricane Milton coming to FL

    How up to date are these strings? Entry is noticeably more south than yesterday IIRC. They keep putting it up on the screen on WESH-
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