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Likely some important announcements today that will likely impact Disney.

The goal was 14 days after the rolling positivity went under 5% and vaccines are over 70%. So going by this check back Wednesday for an announcement. Disney is a member of the county covid task force and is going along with county recommendations (which the CDC guidelines state to do as well)...

Hospitalization officially under 2020 levels again, enough for the Florida Hospital Association to call the Delta wave over for Florida! Article about the declaration of surge over: https://web.fha.org/news/NewsArticleDisplay.aspx?articleid=89 “While COVID-19 remains a concern, the summer...

Florida Hospitalization down over 500 since Friday. As mentioned about Orange County's 14 day rolling positivity is at 4.17%, but today's is 3.4% (still falling). So next week still on track for the 2 weeks of under 5% benchmark the county mayor set for removing the indoor mask...

Next week

Orange county Back down to June levels now, although 14 day average is still above 5%, it'll be falling soon enough. The mask recommendation for the county probably will be ending next week, of which Disney followed last time, along with the statistical projections and lack of any flare ups...

Florida's Hospitalizations have dropped another 1000 since last Wednesday. Orange County hospitalization also has dropped quite a bit in the last few weeks. and positivity continues to drop.

The Universuty of Florida just put out a new study this week on this, so this is probably better than just thoughts. This type of thing is actually useful for real planning. https://www.epi.ufl.edu/covid-19-resources/covid-19-models/end-of-year-projections-for-covid-19-in-florida.html It...

Two weeks after the 14 day average gets and stays below 5%, right now it's not there. Late this month/early November.

Mask mandates are already long gone in most of Florida, and including every park that isn't Disney. The county's guidelines were that the recommendation would change at 5%, and that's what Disney was going by before. (The other parks only strongly suggested). So to be consistent with data and...

Didn't see the Florida weekly report mentioned, but it's down to 25792 new cases for the week (drop of 12k from week prior) or about 3785 a day avg. (And falling) Positivity is below 5% statewide at 4.8%. (last week was 6.6%) full report below...

Florida hospitalization still dropping quite fast, dropped over 1000 in the last week alone and should be under 2020 numbers in a week or so and below June levels in about 2 weeks. Orange county on track to be under 5% in about two weeks time.

The EUA for kids under 12 is not a shoe in, there is data on the FDA site that suggests it does not rise to the level of emergency that is required for the threshold (which is a lot higher for children than adults). It may be similar to boosters where only certain conditions allow for it. We...

First train on the new Cocoa/Orlando section. (Delivering rails)

Before the end of the month, look for it when the 14 day average positivity rate drops below 5% for Orange County.

Positivity still dropping rapidly (yesterday 8.71%) Hospitalization is ramping down more rapidly also, highest % drop to date:

https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRoamingRailfan/videos Is probably the best one of those with frequent updates, I think the guy is out in California now taking video of the new trains.

Florida Hospitalization has dropped by 1000 since Friday, -228 between yesterday and today alone. Record low for admissions as well, as new admissions for covid have been falling at an even steeper rate.

Aug 19: 20% Aug 31: 17.27% sep 9: 14.3% sep 13: 13.3% sep 20: 11.2% -2.1% from prior week sep 27: 9.31% -1.89% from prior week Yeah it's more or less 2% drop a week since the beginning of September. The above is the 14 day average rate, daily rate is closer to 8.6% right now and falling...