We run a small, independent hardware store with 3 major suppliers and roughly 50 smaller ones.
2-6 months left, depending on the industry, is in line with the weekly emails we’re getting from all of them, as well as the real-time counts for we can see is available in the warehouses.
We’re already running out of some stuff and really working overtime to replace it with what available (for now.)
This is also where being the little, independent guy can suck. The bigger fish get first crack at stock, and the rest of us have to deal.
Another thing that’s happening is lots of brands are announcing exclusive contracts with specific vendors- Weber Grills with ACE, for instance, unless you want spend $10k per order.
I would imagine Disney gets first crack at merch, being so massive, so if anyone will get it at a decent price, it’ll be them.