Nah it did better with the Lightyear name then it would have as an original IP. Speaking financially. Critically maybe it would have done better disconnected from Toy Story, however if you change Buzz Lightyear to Lunar Larry the movie still has the same issues.
It starts off well but after...
It's counter programming so I dont think the audiences will ovelap also I really think Top Gun brought the older crowd back. Personally Elvis is a wait for me since I'm not a fan of this directors other films. Seeing the black phone though.
Honestly if I didn't have AMC A-list I would have just waited to see this on Disney plus. It Honestly didn't intrest me in buying a ticket but since I already paid for my subscription it was a might as well see it decision.
What hurt the box office wasn't one thing. It was the death by a thousand cuts. The kiss may have hurt it, Tim not voicing Buzz may have hurt it, it being a spin-off/ Toy Story fatigue. Other things could have as well. Now one of these things won't cost a movie 30 million off opening weekend...
Tim Allen's Buzz voice would have worked fine with this movie. I get they wanted Evans so he could play the straight man to balance out with his team members quirks. But Tim's Buzz is the Toy version of this movies character it would make sense if they sounded the same.
Anything is possible however on top of Gru coming in two weeks to take the animated family movie spot there's also the fact that this movie will be on Disney plus shortly after the 45 day theatrical window. People may decide to wait.