This is wild!
TD Erin has intinsified over land! Here's some reports from the NWS in OK....
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
905 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191600-
ALFALFA-ARCHER-ATOKA-BAYLOR-BECKHAM-BLAINE-BRYAN-CADDO-CANADIAN-
CARTER-CLAY-CLEVELAND-COAL-COMANCHE-COTTON-CUSTER-DEWEY-ELLIS-FOARD-
GARFIELD-GARVIN-GRADY-GRANT-GREER-HARDEMAN-HARMON-HARPER-HUGHES-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSTON-KAY-KINGFISHER-KIOWA-KNOX-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LOVE-MAJOR-MARSHALL-MCCLAIN-MURRAY-NOBLE-OKLAHOMA-PAYNE-PONTOTOC-
POTTAWATOMIE-ROGER MILLS-SEMINOLE-STEPHENS-TILLMAN-WAcrapA-WICHITA-
WILBARGER-WOODS-WOODWARD-
905 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007
.NOW...
...REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN HIGH FOR HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS FLASH
FLOODING INTO LATE MORNING OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. WINDS TO 40 MPH ALSO WILL CONTINUE. CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE BY MIDDAY.
AN EXTRAORDINARY WEATHER EVENT CONTINUES OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THIS MORNING AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN HAVE
INTENSIFIED... RESULTING IN WHAT AMOUNTS TO AN INLAND TROPICAL
STORM. AT 9 AM... THE WELL-DEFINED CENTER WAS LOCATED OVER NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA COUNTY BASED ON RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS... MOVING
SLOWLY EAST AT 10 MPH. BANDS OF FLOOD-PRODUCING RAIN WERE ROTATING
AROUND THE CENTER ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
GENERAL MOVEMENT OF THE HEAVY RAIN AREAS WAS EAST AT AROUND 10
MPH.
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE STORM
CENTER...ESPECIALLY WITHIN 50 MILES TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE
CENTER. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL BE LIKELY... AND GUSTS
OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE TORRENTIAL
RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL
QUICKLY INUNDATE LOW LYING AREAS AND LEAD TO IMPASSABLE ROADS AND
LOCALLY VERY DANGEROUS FLOODING CONDITIONS.
ALTHOUGH HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE LOW CENTER AS
IT MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... RAINFALL WILL END
GRADUALLY FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. MUCH OF THE HEAVY RAIN WILL END IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY
LATE MORNING. FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
MORNING DUE TO WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT RAINFALL RANGING FROM 4 TO 8
INCHES... AND LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
and...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
529 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
529 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.
DISCUSSION...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN HAS STRENGTHENED SIGNIFICANTLY OVERNIGHT
OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH HAVE OCCURRED WITH WIDESPREAD GUSTS OVER 50 MILES AN HOUR
AND ISOLATED GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH. COPIOUS RAINFALL
HAS ALSO OCCURRED TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF ERIN
WITH WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES AND ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER
10 INCHES TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA CITY.
AT 5:15 AM...RADAR SHOWED THAT THE WELL DEFINED CENTER OF ERIN WAS
LOCATED ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF EL RENO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10
TO 15 MILES AN HOUR. LATEST COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE
CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND WILL BE
LOCATED JUST WEST OF BARTLESVILLE BY LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING
NORTHEAST INTO KANSAS OVERNIGHT.
ALTHOUGH ERIN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS THE DAY WEARS ON...SHE WILL
STILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS
MAINLY NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TODAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
WILL BE COMMON NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OVER
5 INCHES POSSIBLE. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REACH 25 TO 30 MILES AN
HOUR NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MILES AN
HOUR POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
THUNDERSTORMS EVEN AWAY FROM THE CENTER WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 MILES
AN HOUR POSSIBLE RESULTING IN A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
AS IS TYPICAL WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS...ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF ERIN.
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE THIS EVENING AS THE
CENTER OF ERIN MOVES NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED...ESPECIALLY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
RESIDUAL TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN BY LATE IN
THE WEEK AS MOISTURE ONCE AGAIN INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA.
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICIES IN THE 100 TO 105 RANGE WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE BY MID TO LATE WEEK.
Here's a radar image posted by Vic on Talkweather.com
TD Erin has intinsified over land! Here's some reports from the NWS in OK....
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
905 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191600-
ALFALFA-ARCHER-ATOKA-BAYLOR-BECKHAM-BLAINE-BRYAN-CADDO-CANADIAN-
CARTER-CLAY-CLEVELAND-COAL-COMANCHE-COTTON-CUSTER-DEWEY-ELLIS-FOARD-
GARFIELD-GARVIN-GRADY-GRANT-GREER-HARDEMAN-HARMON-HARPER-HUGHES-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSTON-KAY-KINGFISHER-KIOWA-KNOX-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LOVE-MAJOR-MARSHALL-MCCLAIN-MURRAY-NOBLE-OKLAHOMA-PAYNE-PONTOTOC-
POTTAWATOMIE-ROGER MILLS-SEMINOLE-STEPHENS-TILLMAN-WAcrapA-WICHITA-
WILBARGER-WOODS-WOODWARD-
905 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007
.NOW...
...REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN HIGH FOR HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS FLASH
FLOODING INTO LATE MORNING OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. WINDS TO 40 MPH ALSO WILL CONTINUE. CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE BY MIDDAY.
AN EXTRAORDINARY WEATHER EVENT CONTINUES OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THIS MORNING AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN HAVE
INTENSIFIED... RESULTING IN WHAT AMOUNTS TO AN INLAND TROPICAL
STORM. AT 9 AM... THE WELL-DEFINED CENTER WAS LOCATED OVER NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA COUNTY BASED ON RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS... MOVING
SLOWLY EAST AT 10 MPH. BANDS OF FLOOD-PRODUCING RAIN WERE ROTATING
AROUND THE CENTER ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
GENERAL MOVEMENT OF THE HEAVY RAIN AREAS WAS EAST AT AROUND 10
MPH.
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE STORM
CENTER...ESPECIALLY WITHIN 50 MILES TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE
CENTER. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL BE LIKELY... AND GUSTS
OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE TORRENTIAL
RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL
QUICKLY INUNDATE LOW LYING AREAS AND LEAD TO IMPASSABLE ROADS AND
LOCALLY VERY DANGEROUS FLOODING CONDITIONS.
ALTHOUGH HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE LOW CENTER AS
IT MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... RAINFALL WILL END
GRADUALLY FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. MUCH OF THE HEAVY RAIN WILL END IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY
LATE MORNING. FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
MORNING DUE TO WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT RAINFALL RANGING FROM 4 TO 8
INCHES... AND LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
and...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
529 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
529 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.
DISCUSSION...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN HAS STRENGTHENED SIGNIFICANTLY OVERNIGHT
OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH HAVE OCCURRED WITH WIDESPREAD GUSTS OVER 50 MILES AN HOUR
AND ISOLATED GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH. COPIOUS RAINFALL
HAS ALSO OCCURRED TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF ERIN
WITH WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES AND ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER
10 INCHES TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA CITY.
AT 5:15 AM...RADAR SHOWED THAT THE WELL DEFINED CENTER OF ERIN WAS
LOCATED ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF EL RENO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10
TO 15 MILES AN HOUR. LATEST COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE
CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND WILL BE
LOCATED JUST WEST OF BARTLESVILLE BY LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING
NORTHEAST INTO KANSAS OVERNIGHT.
ALTHOUGH ERIN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS THE DAY WEARS ON...SHE WILL
STILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS
MAINLY NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TODAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
WILL BE COMMON NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OVER
5 INCHES POSSIBLE. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REACH 25 TO 30 MILES AN
HOUR NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MILES AN
HOUR POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
THUNDERSTORMS EVEN AWAY FROM THE CENTER WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 MILES
AN HOUR POSSIBLE RESULTING IN A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
AS IS TYPICAL WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS...ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF ERIN.
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE THIS EVENING AS THE
CENTER OF ERIN MOVES NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED...ESPECIALLY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
RESIDUAL TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN BY LATE IN
THE WEEK AS MOISTURE ONCE AGAIN INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA.
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICIES IN THE 100 TO 105 RANGE WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE BY MID TO LATE WEEK.
Here's a radar image posted by Vic on Talkweather.com