Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 11

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Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUN 04 2020


000
WTNT23 KNHC 040843
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020
0900 UTC THU JUN 04 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMPECHE TO COATZACOALCOS MEXICO

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. INTERESTS THERE AND
ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF CRISTOBAL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 91.3W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 125 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 91.3W AT 04/0900Z...INLAND
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 91.5W...INLAND

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.0N 91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.7N 90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.2N 90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.1N 90.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.9N 90.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.8N 90.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 29.5N 91.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 34.0N 92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 91.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 04/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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