_caleb
Well-Known Member
Literally, nothing? How sad.Nothing makes my day like the news of another Disney disaster/failure/set-back.
Literally, nothing? How sad.Nothing makes my day like the news of another Disney disaster/failure/set-back.
It was reported on another website with WDW in the title that posts news. I think you can figure out which one from that.I'm interested to hear what the source of "some voyages are only at 25%."
I don't deny that that may be the case.
And it's clear they aren't filling up like they used to.
BUT... how many voyages are only at 25%? Are ten percent of voyages at 25%? Fifty percent? Ninety percent?
If one doesn't know the answer to that question, then one doesn't know exactly how the Starcruiser is doing financially.
If a cruise is only 25% filled, that's $125,000 for the two nights. Is that enough to make that cruise profitable? And if it isn't, what about all the two-night cruises that are only 50% filled? That's $250,000 per cruise. Is that enough to make that cruise profitable?
I don't know. I doubt anyone here knows.
Because it is a wonderful feeling being right! And I want to revel in the failure of the Disney Galactic Star Cruiser Hotel - a misbegotten, ill-conceived disaster that I knew would fail from the start, and now we see that failure playing out in real time.I don’t understand the utter glee people are expressing over the announced canceled dates. Disney is trying something new/different. Even if you don’t particularly like what they’re trying or how they’re going about it, don’t you want them to keep trying new things?
Conceptually Disney considers this a cruise experience on land (in space). Cruise experiences are high fixed cost enterprises, and rely on very high sustained occupancy to remain profitable.As far as revenue goes…I can tell you that 20 years ago a Moderate down the road would generate around 200,000 in revenue per night. A deluxe would generate that or slightly more a night.
It’s actually math…$100 a night x 2000 rooms equals $200,000.
Yep…I’m talking caribbean ( and Dixie and Coronado at that time)
So much larger overhead…and that revenue didn’t make “profit” anyway…
But 20 years ago.
As far as how booked the thing is now? We don’t know and they won’t tell us.
So the most logical sitch is that they were running between 25 and 75% each block…and closed down the slow ones and shunted whoever booked them into the big block to get it to 90% if they can. That means 0% midweek and maybe 80% on the weekends. Totally occupancy probably 50-60% at most at those times?
My amazing experience knowing inventory control, revenue control, wdw ops and specifically resort ops allows me to get in the ballpark.
But don’t tell LuvGoof or I’ll get lectured for having the audacity of experience
But there’s no definitive number. So 90% every day and they really are closing to paint fingerprints off the walls is a stance one can take
As is it’s 10-25% and flat 6 months out and they’ll have to fake the fire Marshall shutting it down to save face.
We don’t know. Signs aren’t good. And that’s just because I was a CM above frontline 25 years ago talking…which is worthless.
Conceptually Disney considers this a cruise experience on land (in space). Cruise experiences are high fixed cost enterprises, and rely on very high sustained occupancy to remain profitable.
If All Star Music is having trouble filling rooms, they can take an entire bank of rooms offline and scuttle housekeeping for a time. If just a dozen rooms (out of a hundred) are booked, much of the full show and experience must still go on.
If the cruise line is looking ahead and thinks it won’t even get close to profitability for a certain sailing, they’d likely cancel it and shift the customers to other cruises (to stem the losses they’d take on that very undersold sailing).
Correct…Conceptually Disney considers this a cruise experience on land (in space). Cruise experiences are high fixed cost enterprises, and rely on very high sustained occupancy to remain profitable.
If All Star Music is having trouble filling rooms, they can take an entire bank of rooms offline and scuttle housekeeping for a time. If just a dozen rooms (out of a hundred) are booked, much of the full show and experience must still go on.
If the cruise line is looking ahead and thinks it won’t even get close to profitability for a certain sailing, they’d likely cancel it and shift the customers to other cruises (to stem the losses they’d take on that very undersold sailing).
And since WDI is apparently run by 24 year old Iowa Writer’s Workshop grads who overcomplicate story with no one asking “Is this going to be fun?” this thing is stuffed with interconnected side quests and a main narrative that would be difficult to decouple.Correct…
Low occupancy protocols. They did that did 2 years of Covid and at times during travel slows prior
You clear entire lodge units/wings/floors off the rack and reduce your overhead on them.
But it appears like it’s the oppo of what it is. You see people on threads asking “why is there no rooms on 12/6?!? ”
Because they’re not opening some for a slow trickle of people to book them. It’s deemed not worth it. Mostly labor…always understaffed and don’t want to deal with it. It makes sense.
Can’t do that here with the rooms and “performance” staff. They have to be all open or shut.
And since this was badly conceived/designed/priced…here we are.
It’s 101% likely there isn’t much profit here…I fully believed they had convinced themselves that the prices would go up and so would the margins.I wouldn't be surprised if the Starcruiser has a tighter operating margin than we think.
There's comparatively few rooms to support the amount of staff and resources this takes to run.
Not surprised they'd want to cancel bookings that are only a 1/4 full. Is that even 50 rooms?
As I’ve stated…I intentionally didn’t go on Al Gores internet and look up the minute by minute synopseAnd since WDI is apparently run by 24 year old Iowa Writer’s Workshop grads who overcomplicate story with no one asking “Is this going to be fun?” this thing is stuffed with interconnected side quests and a main narrative that would be difficult to decouple.
Why do all the people who think it is failing or will fail keep skipping over the possibility that rooms will be discounted before it's shut down?Let's see when this (not a matter of if) Star Cruiser goes into dry dock, mothballs or scrapyard. Initial indicators are not looking good.
100 rooms. One quarter would be 25 rooms.I wouldn't be surprised if the Starcruiser has a tighter operating margin than we think.
There's comparatively few rooms to support the amount of staff and resources this takes to run.
Not surprised they'd want to cancel bookings that are only a 1/4 full. Is that even 50 rooms?
When this started, we were posting dozens of dozens of videos of people documenting their experience and others evaluating it. They were overwhelmingly positive.And since WDI is apparently run by 24 year old Iowa Writer’s Workshop grads who overcomplicate story with no one asking “Is this going to be fun?” this thing is stuffed with interconnected side quests and a main narrative that would be difficult to decouple.
People think it’s failing because it’s being blocked in the middle of the summer a year after it opened.Why do all the people who think it is failing or will fail keep skipping over the possibility that rooms will be discounted before it's shut down?
You’re missing the point of my response. Whether whoever went enjoyed it is immaterial to whether it’s 1) profitable to continue doing this at 25% occupancy and 2) whether rhe complexity of the interconnected narratives can easily adjust/cut down on those experiences to adjust the fixed costs given reduced interest/occupancy.When this started, we were posting dozens of dozens of videos of people documenting their experience and others evaluating it. They were overwhelmingly positive.
Where is your evidence that guests are left confused and unsatisfied?
You can't gaslight us that it's a terrible experience the face of loads of people saying the loved it and are doing multiple cruises.
When this started, we were posting dozens of dozens of videos of people documenting their experience and others evaluating it. They were overwhelmingly positive.
Just so we’re clear on all of this, by what metric(s) would you consider this a failure?Why do all the people who think it is failing or will fail keep skipping over the possibility that rooms will be discounted before it's shut down?
100 rooms. One quarter would be 25 rooms.
On a cruise with only 25 rooms, they revenue would be $125,000. Do you think they spend as much or more than that over the course of two nights?
Maybe. I’m not sure how the performance contracts are structured, or their ability to retain that talent / food service folks when their “shows” are cut in half or the tips/gratuities are diminished by a similar amount.I'm guessing part of it is the potential for a diminished experience. It's not designed for such a small number of guests (I imagine it would feel pretty lifeless in places), and they don't want people to come away disappointed and spread bad reviews.
There are probably operational issues too, though. Not that I think they'd spend more than $125,000 over two nights, but it could lower the margins enough to not be worth running. Why make $30k on two separate cruises when you could combine those people into one and make $80k? The costs are probably fixed (for the most part) regardless of how many people are actually booked.
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