Um Spider-Man: No Way Home is going to do EndGame level of business. It is going to easily beat Shang-Chi on its opening weekend without breaking a sweat. You got all 3 Spideys coming together against their respective villians all on screen. Fans have been dying for this. The trailer alone broke you tube records.
It'll honestly depend on the state of the pandemic in Dec/Jan and the public's comfort level going back into theaters. We're still not hitting pre-pandemic levels and probably won't for a long time, indicating the public is still not 100% willing to go back to theaters. So to say its going to do x amount is really just a guess like you said.
Famous last words. You'll see.
Spider Man will easily crush it
You've said that already and no one's arguing with you about it.
As has just been stated, you've said that already and no one is really disagreeing with you. However I will say that its very possible it won't be the highest grossing movie of 2021, that will still possibly be Shang-Chi. With only being released 2 weeks prior to the end of 2021 its hard for SM:NWH to break even $200M in the short period of time during a pandemic.
Highest grossing domestic. It's nowhere close to worldwide, just for clarification.
You are correct, but we’ve been talking domestic.
You are correct, but we’ve been talking domestic.
Spider Man will be the highest grossing movie of the year. Easily.
That is pretty much a given. That also doesn't make Shang-Chi a flop.
As has been stated several times, it is actually unlikely Spider-man will be the top movie in 2021. It will make too much money in 2022, and likely not enough in 2021 to get that distinction. It may in fact make more money than Shang-Chi, but as for as which movie makes the most money in 2021, it is a tough hill to climb for Spider-man due to it's release date.
That's certainly your opinion but not how most box office tracking sites do it. The top movie of a particular year is the the movie that earned the most during that calendar year. A movie released on December 30th will have most of it's income in the following year. That's just how the industry does it. You can still find list that show the top movies for a year based on their release date, but it is not common and not who they will note as the top performer in 2021. Same goes for which movie studio earns the most in 2021. They show that based on Jan 1st to Dec 31st, regardless if they put a movie out a few days before the new year and earns most of it's money the following year.
