News Major Hurricane Dorian impacts to Walt Disney World 2019

[LAKid53]

Is it just me or did the 11:00 update move the path of the storm a little east? That would be a huge relief unless I’m just wishful thinking.

Edit: not saying it isn’t potentially gonna still do significant damage to Florida, but any movement east is a good thing.

Dropped 5 mph...

 

[bclane]

Note the position time indexes. The 11 and 5 AM/PM time indexes reference 2 AM/PM local. The 8 and 2 AM/PM time indexes reference 8AM/PM local. So the position will always be different.

But to answer your question the NHC positioning has been unchanged for multiple previous advisories, the cone of uncertainty however has expanded up the FL coast. Keep in mind also the storm can go a anywhere in the cone, it’s not locked in on the center.

Thanks. I think what I was seeing is that the cone of uncertainty seems to have shifted to the right slightly around the Orlando area so that it appears to cover less area to the west of Orlando. It is probably just because the hurricane is closer now so the cone isn’t as wide in that area. That is probably what you meant by expanding up the coast but I wouldn’t be surprised if i’m making a bad assumption.

 

[monothingie]

Thanks. I think what I was seeing is that the cone of uncertainty seems to have shifted to the right slightly around the Orlando area so that it appears to cover less area to the west of Orlando. It is probably just because the hurricane is closer now so the cone isn’t as wide in that area. That is probably what you meant by expanding up the coast but I wouldn’t be surprised if i’m making a bad assumption.

No you’re spot on. The white shaded 3 day cone is in constant change and get narrower close to the actual center of the storm.

 

[Hobnail Boot]

Mandatory evacuations issued this evening for my area. It starts tomorrow at noon and interstate 16 will be reversed on Tuesday. This is like Matthew all over again.

Still hoping for it to stay east but praying for the best for everyone!

 

[Hobnail Boot]

where are you located?

Savannah. Technically Richmond Hill but the evacuation order is for everyone east of interstate 95.

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

The storm seems “hesitant” to make the turn...
They are still on doom and gloom for South Carolina...but the whole seaboard appears to be ready to get clobbered

 

[Nubs70]

oh ok..hoping it will just skirt the coast and go back to sea...
be safe

If the center gets too close to land, it can have a tendency to take a hard left.

 

[monothingie]

is it just me or would anyone one else prefer the cone of silence from get smart?

Would you believe....

 

[Bullseye1967]

It could be worse. Apparently Alabama has been stolen!!!!

 

[HauntedPirate]

It was foolish of DCL to leave CMs on the island.

Please tell me they did not do something that stupid.

 

[tcool123]

Please tell me they did not do something that stupid.

Being reported by the news, 97 people left behind in a bunker that can reportedly survive a Cat 4.

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather/hurricane/article234627417.html

 

[HauntedPirate]

Being reported by the news, 97 people left behind in a bunker that can reportedly survive a Cat 4.

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather/hurricane/article234627417.html

Wow. Thanks for the link. Unbelievable...

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

It could be worse. Apparently Alabama has been stolen!!!!
View attachment 404724

So is this a bad thing?...oh never mind

Wow. Thanks for the link. Unbelievable...

Can’t interupt the tired offerings of castaway for the next boat of revenue generators, huh?

(The Miami press eats this kinda stuff up ). Hiassen probably already has a book written on it.

 

[Bullseye1967]

2AM Update still headed West

 

[LSLS]

Being reported by the news, 97 people left behind in a bunker that can reportedly survive a Cat 4.

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather/hurricane/article234627417.html

Wait, a bunker only designed for a cat 4?

 

[LSLS]

The storm seems “hesitant” to make the turn...
They are still on doom and gloom for South Carolina...but the whole seaboard appears to be ready to get clobbered

The models have always been Monday afternoon for the turn. It seems li ln e it should be by now, but due to the slow down its still got 8 hours or so.

 

[LAKid53]

It could be worse. Apparently Alabama has been stolen!!!!
View attachment 404724

No more Florbama?

 

[LAKid53]

Wait, a bunker only designed for a cat 4?

On an island with a 5 foot elevation and storm surges expected to be 20 feet. The pictures from Abaco are heartbreaking.

And the storm is still in the area.

 

[LAKid53]

The models have always been Monday afternoon for the turn. It seems li ln e it should be by now, but due to the slow down its still got 8 hours or so.

It's slowed to 1 mph, so, in essence, it's stalled. Over the Bahamas. Those poor people.

 

[WDW862]

5 am update. The hurricane is slowing down. Was going west at 8mph 24 hours ago, now its only 1mph. Turning north in a few hours.