Outside of Darkbeer, when was the last time anyone road a train around here?
Prior to switching jobs and moving about 6 months ago, my daily commute was by urban rapid rail. In an average week, I probably made 12-15 one-way trips. My home was across the street from a station and my work was on the same block as one, so it was as close to door-to-door service as could realistically be expected. But the service was so unreliable, unsafe, and expensive that it was also one of the driving reasons that I changed jobs and left the region.
On a typical day, my door-to-door commute was just under an hour. However, the service was so unpredictable that about once a week one of my trips would take about 90 minutes, and about once a month I'd have a trip that took close to 2 hours. It was such a well-known problem that employers were rather forgiving with people arriving late, but it was so widespread that there were studies about how much it dragged down the local economy with wasted time. A large amount of technical jargon was in the vernacular of everyday riders, because the various problems were so pervasive. Entering the station, you never knew if this would be a normal trip, or one of the ones where everything went horribly wrong. If you had to be somewhere at a specific time (say, a business meeting or a doctor's appointment), you had to leave inordinately early, "just in case."
Unlike other modes of transit, there really weren't any alternatives. When you're stopped in a tunnel between stations because of a signal problem 6 stations ahead, it's not like a bus changing lanes to go around a crash or a car switching to a parallel route; you're just stuck there waiting it out. Because the area's transit network was designed to feed into the rail system, there were also precious few bus alternatives that could replicate the routes needed during problem times (and certainly none that had the capacity to handle the sudden influx of thousands of additional riders)
There were some limited upsides to it: I got a lot of reading done, and I occasionally took a nap on my ride home. But I also wasted a lot of time and money (it cost me around $250/month to ride) feeling like I was trapped with no viable alternative.
As a regular transit user, I can say with experience that most people don't particularly care what mode of transit they're using. They care about how reliable, affordable, safe, and clean it is. If I had been able to justifiably switch to a bus or streetcar or private auto or something else, I would have; but rail was really the only option that connected my origin and destination points in a reasonable way during peak periods. While rail has an image of being steady and reliable, it's really anything but that once maintenance issues arrive; for the type of route we're talking about here, a suped-up bus line (like BRT) would be equally effective at a fraction of the price, and would avoid the most disruptive maintenance and operations problems into the future
I would assume that the "new" project in Anaheim would receive some state and/or federal funding, right? If so, it would be required to conduct an Environmental Impact Report (California) and/or Environmental Assessment (EPA), including an Alternatives Analysis. I would be curious to see if that included any sort of bus route (rather than just build/no-build options) and how it stacks up, both in terms of impacts and rough-order-of-magnitude costs. I suspect that would make it tough to justify any sort of fixed-guideway system for this corridor...What was it again that killed off the old ARC fixed-guideway project that was essentially identical to this one?