I suppose Kingdom's chances this weekend largely depend on whether there's a chunk of interested, older audiences who haven't seen it yet but want to. This is an older-skewing franchise, not the kind where everybody's rushing to see a new installment right away ala Star Wars or (once) the MCU.I saw Kingdom of Apes last week, it was good. Both critic and audience scores are good overall, so it has at least some positive buzz around it. Will it leg out over the next few weeks, we'll see. The big test will be next week against Furiosa as that would seem to be a similar audience.
There's no competition this weekend aside from IF, which is gunning for the family market and is definitely being given a big marketing push by Paramount, but the reviews so far have been fine at best, toxic at worst. A lot of unflattering comparisons to Pixar movies are being made, although curiously it also seems to have similar problems to Wish in that its plot is needlessly complicated and the stakes are unclear. It only has one weekend to "hit" before direct competition from next weekend's more obviously kid-appealing The Garfield Movie, so if it underperforms it's DOA.