-
The new WDWMAGIC iOS app is here!
Stay up to date with the latest Disney news, photos, and discussions right from your iPhone. The app is free to download and gives you quick access to news articles, forums, photo galleries, park hours, weather and Lightning Lane pricing. Learn More -
Welcome to the WDWMAGIC.COM Forums!
Please take a look around, and feel free to sign up and join the community.
Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs
- Thread starter Disney Analyst
- Start date
LSLS
Well-Known Member
Not going to lie, seeing Super Troppers 3 as a part of this lineup cracked me up.
Yeah, but leaving out a movie would have invited unpleasant guesses as to why.
I'm sure it'll help the overall Doomsday Box Office!
In this box office economy, all will likely make money this year.
LSLS
Well-Known Member
Oh it absolutely should be there, it's just hilarious to me to see that as a part of a Disney lineup.
Nevermore525
Well-Known Member
I enjoy telling folks Con Air and Starship Troopers are Classic Disney produced films.
The Dog Stars is not a typical enchanting story, even though it sounds like a wackety shackety romp.
If anything. I would say it was the one that will perform mid from the company. I think it will not peform as well against its budget vs interest.
That is because they had Touchstone and Hollywood Pictures, and branding was very smart.
TP2000
Well-Known Member
Thank you, this is very helpful! I almost want to print it out and tape it to my fridge.
I only see a couple IP's up there that look familiar to me, so more research is needed.
What's the thought on that Star Wars movie for May 22nd? I actually heard people talking about it last week at the
It features Grogu, who is more popular than Hypnotoad.
Disney Irish
Premium Member
TP2000
Well-Known Member
Okay. Hypnotoad. Got it. Good to know. I've already practiced saying it in a sentence.
I'll be back to my barber's the Thursday leading into Memorial Day weekend, so if it comes up I will tell the young guys dismissing Star Wars Episode Grogu Whatever, "Hey, lay off punks, Grogu is more popular than Hypnotoad!"
I'm imagining the entire shop goes silent, as they all think "Oh crap, the old man who tips well has finally cracked."
TP2000
Well-Known Member
As someone who lived through it (maybe the only one here?), I can only imagine what her red carpet musings may be on that.
"HIV patients won't be saved by science and big pharmaceutical companies, they'll be saved by original songs sung by me!"
Tha Realest
Well-Known Member
Zegler and Platt make this the most Theater Kids film of all time, but Brody’s an interesting one here. Maybe they have a reggae tune or two queued up for him. You don’t let that talent go to waste.
brideck
Well-Known Member
I'm pretty sure that Searchlight's Theater Camp (also with Ben Platt) from a few years back by definition has to be that. It was a bit uneven, but the closing number in that one still brings a smile to my face anytime I think to go back and listen to it.
Zegler continues to impress. She just won the Olivier (British Tony) last month for her Evita role, so despite the inability for some posters to move on I think she'll be just fine. It just probably won't be in movies that aren't musicals, which was probably always going to be the case with her.
It'll be curious to see what this director makes out of this kind of material. I'm familiar with some Brazilian directors, but not this guy. I remember Firebrand (which was in competition at Cannes) coming out a few years back, but didn't see it.
Disney Irish
Premium Member
She’s got two other upcoming movies as well, only one of which is a musical. Octet directed by Lin-Manuel Miranda, and She Gets It From Me. Both star some big names alongside Zegler, so clearly despite what some here think Hollywood is not done with her. She is likely to have a long career, and the fact she hasn’t stopped working shows the industry thinks so too.
My Bluesky acquaintances (we largely like talking shop about movies) have at most been poking fun at stuff like the ugly teaser poster, the weird mouthful that the title is, etc. There was hardly any response to the one clip they released online on Monday (the Fourth!) with the AT-ATs.
More damagingly, the trade press is estimating based on the usual presales, etc. this movie could do as little as $80 million for the 4-day holiday weekend. Given that would bring its opening below the first 3-days for Michael and Devil Wears Prada 2, and be along the lines of Solo's opening weekend way back in 2018, that is not good between the budget and the huge money that's gone into the promotional campaign. More optimistic projections put it closer to $100 million, but that still isn't great.
I guess a casual observation is that I was at a Target this past Sunday. There was a nice fully-stocked endcap of Star Wars merch for the new movie in the toy department, but also, there was a big aisle near books/music that was set aside for all-ages Pokemon goodies. I thought they were just setting it up for the coming week because it was nearly bare. But then I learned that they unveiled all the stuff there the previous day, it was just picked over to the bone! Most of it also sold out near-instantly at the online shop.
brideck
Well-Known Member
I'd be curious as to what Disney was thinking this movie might do when they greenlit it. It's really not like it's a traditional Star Wars movie of any kind -- more or less a glorified, feature-length episode/season (depending on just how much plot is jammed into it) of a TV show. Some of the MCU's recentish output shows that there's a real cap to what movies in that category can do at the box office. e.g. I haven't watched the three seasons of the show and don't want to do homework, so I'll be skipping this.
Nevermore525
Well-Known Member
According to some reporting that $80M is in line with Disney’s expectations for opening weekend.
Feels more like a in lieu of dumping this just in D+ let’s put it into theaters and recoup whatever costs they can from the box office before the revenue sharing from streaming.
Especially if reporting is true that the budget was $166M before $21M in tax credits received for it.