Hurricane Helene (2024)

Gringrinngghost

Gringrinngghost

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
For Walt Disney World:

Code: 
Helene Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL092024
506 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024

FLZ045-250430-
/O.NEW.KMLB.TR.W.1009.240924T2106Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KMLB.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Orange-
506 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are
expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain
      possible
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
      to 57 mph
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
          force.
        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
          becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
          over.
        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
        - Scattered power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: 1-3 inches, with locally higher
          amounts

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
      moderate flooding rain
        - The flooding rain threat has increased from the previous
          assessment.
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
          are possible.
        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
          vulnerable to flooding.
        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
          and rescues.
        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with
          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,
          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,
          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.
        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
          closures.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
      tornadoes
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a
          few tornadoes.
        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to
          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before
          hazardous weather arrives.
        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter
          quickly.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
          power and communications disruptions.
        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
          off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

$$
 
JohnD

JohnD

Well-Known Member
This thing looks like it's making a beeline for the Capitol City.

Hurricane Warning​

From Tue 5:07 pm EDT

Action Recommended
Avoid the subject event as per the instructions
Issued By
Tallahassee - FL, US, National Weather Service
Affected Area
Leon County
Description
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

A Hurricane Warning means hurricane-force winds are expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours

LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Tallahassee - Woodville - Bradfordville

WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 55 mph - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Thursday afternoon until early Friday morning

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind greater than 110 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane force or higher. - PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be underway. Prepare for catastrophic wind damage. - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or months. - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and roadway signs blown over. - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Widespread power and communications outages.

STORM SURGE - No storm surge inundation forecast

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm surge flooding - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding. Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip currents are possible. - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding are needed. - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor forecasts.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.

FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect - Peak Rainfall Amounts: 4-8 inches, with locally higher amounts

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a few tornadoes. - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

FOR MORE INFORMATION: - Local Weather Conditions and Forecasts: NWS Tallahassee - https://www.weather.gov/tallahassee - Information from the Florida Division of Emergency Management - https://www.floridadisaster.org - Information from Leon County Emergency Management - http://www2.leoncountyfl.gov/ei

1727213002278.png
 
Last edited:
Gringrinngghost

Gringrinngghost

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Captain Barbossa said:
5pm update:

View attachment 817695
Click to expand...
A note I want to share from the Forecast Discussion:

Code: 
With the center formation this morning, Helene has taken a
short-term jog to the west-northwest (300/10 kt).  The storm is
expected to turn northwestward by tonight and then northward on
Wednesday as high pressure over Florida shifts eastward, and a
deep-layer trough digs southward over the Lower Mississippi Valley.
The NHC track forecast has been shifted westward during the first
24 hours to account for the recent motion, and Helene's center
could get very close to the northeastern coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula Wednesday morning.  After that time, however, the NHC
track forecast is relatively unchanged from the previous
prediction, except for being a little bit slower based on the
latest guidance.  Helene is expected to accelerate while it moves
northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and approaches the
Florida Gulf coast.

I want to place emphasis on this: "The NHC track forecast has been shifted westward during the first 24 hours to account for the recent motion, and Helene's center could get very close to the northeastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula Wednesday morning. After that time, however, the NHC track forecast is relatively unchanged from the previous prediction, except for being a little bit slower based on the latest guidance."

Personally to me, in my opinion, and I brought this up earlier, "I believe that the area of Landfall will shift from the Port Leon area where it's currently expected to be closer near Stienhatchee. Do note that we are seeing this belief where the watches are as they really have not shifted then westward." I also want to emphasis from the 11am Forecast Discussion: "The high is expected to slide eastward through Wednesday as a deep-layer trough digs southward over the Lower Mississippi Valley. This pattern evolution should cause the system to turn northward and north-northeastward late Wednesday into Thursday. The track guidance is very tightly clustered, which would normally imply high forecast confidence. However, depending on exactly where the center forms could end up shifting the entire guidance suite in future cycles, so it is imperative to not focus on specific landfall locations this far in the future."

So its a wait and see for the next model runs with the new data from Gonzo.

TLDR: I am waiting to see the data from the synoptic surveillance that is added to the models for the next run to see how the some will move.
 
Last edited:
D

DCBaker

Premium Member
Update from Walt Disney World:

Monitoring Tropical Storm Helene

Walt Disney World Resort is currently operating under normal conditions. We are closely monitoring the path of the storm as we continue to prioritize the safety of our Guests and Cast Members.
 
L

Lilofan

Well-Known Member
JohnD said:
This thing looks like it's making a beeline for the Capitol City.

Hurricane Warning​

From Tue 5:07 pm EDT

Action Recommended
Avoid the subject event as per the instructions
Issued By
Tallahassee - FL, US, National Weather Service
Affected Area
Leon County
Description
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

A Hurricane Warning means hurricane-force winds are expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours

LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Tallahassee - Woodville - Bradfordville

WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 55 mph - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Thursday afternoon until early Friday morning

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind greater than 110 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane force or higher. - PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be underway. Prepare for catastrophic wind damage. - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or months. - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and roadway signs blown over. - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Widespread power and communications outages.

STORM SURGE - No storm surge inundation forecast

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm surge flooding - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding. Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip currents are possible. - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding are needed. - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor forecasts.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.

FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect - Peak Rainfall Amounts: 4-8 inches, with locally higher amounts

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a few tornadoes. - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

FOR MORE INFORMATION: - Local Weather Conditions and Forecasts: NWS Tallahassee - https://www.weather.gov/tallahassee - Information from the Florida Division of Emergency Management - https://www.floridadisaster.org - Information from Leon County Emergency Management - http://www2.leoncountyfl.gov/ei

View attachment 817705
Click to expand...
Florida State already cancelled classes, to resume on Monday.
 
Gringrinngghost

Gringrinngghost

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Hurricane Hunters update.

Mission 6 is starting synoptic surveillance south of Cortes, Cuba after completing a grid from Tampa to New Orleans down to Cancun where 19 Dropsondes were sent.
Mission 7 is starting its first pass into Helene.
Mission 8 is heading to Helene.
 
HauntedPirate

HauntedPirate

Park nostalgist
Premium Member
Code: 
Tropical Storm Helene Local Statement Advisory Number 8
FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-251730-

Tropical Storm Helene Local Statement Advisory Number 8
National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL092024
518 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

This product covers East Central Florida

**TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY**
**PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED TODAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Indian River,
      Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Coastal Volusia, Inland
      Indian River, Inland Martin, Inland Northern Brevard, Inland
      Saint Lucie, Inland Southern Brevard, Inland Volusia, Mainland
      Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard
      Barrier Islands, Northern Lake, Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola,
      Seminole, Southern Brevard Barrier Islands, and Southern Lake

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 620 miles south-southwest of Leesburg FL
    - 20.7N 86.2W
    - Storm Intensity 65 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 325 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Helene is located just east of Cozumel this morning
and is forecast to move northward into the Gulf Of Mexico by this
evening. The storm is organizing and is expected to become a hurricane
today. Helene is expected to continue north-northeastward, with
increasing forward speed, across the eastern Gulf Of Mexico through
Thursday.

Tropical moisture quickly returns to east central Florida today.
Developing outer rain bands are forecast to develop and move
northwestward. Multiple rounds of rainfall are expected, especially as
the system makes its closest approach from tonight into Thursday.
Locally higher rainfall totals will result from rain bands repeatedly
moving over the same locations.

Generally, 1 to 3 inches of total rainfall are forecast areawide with
locally higher amounts of up to 6 inches possible. These rainfall
amounts, along with instances of higher rainfall rates, will be
capable of producing flooding in low-lying and urban areas, especially
in areas which have already received heavy rainfall this month.
Ponding of water on roadways may also lead to hazardous driving
conditions. Any future adjustments in the track of this system may
result in changes to the current rainfall forecast.

Helene is forecast to quickly intensify into a major hurricane prior
to landfall near Florida`s eastern Panhandle or Big Bend on Thursday
evening. The area of tropical storm force winds is expected to
encompass a large area to the east of its center. Tropical Storm
Warnings remain in effect for all of east central Florida as well as
the adjacent Atlantic waters. Frequent tropical storm force gusts will
be possible across the area during Thursday into Thursday evening as
Helene makes its closest approach to the area. The potential for gusts
up to 60 mph will exist, particularly northwest of I-4, along the east
central Florida coast, near the intracoastal waterways, and in
vicinity of Lake Okeechobee.

In addition to strong wind gusts, there is a potential for several
tornadoes embedded in rain bands late tonight through Thursday.

From late tonight through Thursday night, battering surf, numerous
life-threatening rip currents, and a longshore current will cause
dangerous beach conditions. Run-up to the dune line and sea walls will
result in minor to moderate beach erosion. Impacts will be greatest
during the Thursday afternoon high tide, occurring between 3 PM and 5
PM. Marine conditions will become dangerous, and small craft operators
should remain in port.

Do not let your guard down. This will be a very large storm, and
impacts will be experienced far from the center of the storm. Efforts
to protect life and property should now be underway and be completed
by this afternoon. Make sure you have a hurricane kit and plan in
place.

As Tropical Storm Helene becomes better organized today, additional
changes to the forecast are possible. Any eastward shifts in the
forecast track would increase the potential for additional impacts
locally, so continue to monitor the latest forecasts from the National
Hurricane Center and National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
East Central Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across much of East Central Florida. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across the Treasure Coast and near Lake Okeechobee.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across inland portions of east central Florida.
Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the remainder of east central Florida.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts mainly across Volusia County. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across East Central Florida, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around 12 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
 
C

cr3346

Active Member
Down 12mb in 9 hrs. 6mb in last 3hrs. It's hard to tell because the radar down there sucks, but it looks like the center of the storm has stayed off sure, which doesn't help to weaken it at all. Once this thing clears the Yucatan, it's game on.
 
Ayla

Ayla

Well-Known Member
cr3346 said:
Down 12mb in 9 hrs. 6mb in last 3hrs. It's hard to tell because the radar down there sucks, but it looks like the center of the storm has stayed off sure, which doesn't help to weaken it at all. Once this thing clears the Yucatan, it's game on.
Click to expand...
It is doing exactly what the EXPERTS said it would.
 

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