It did, though. The number wouldn't be 28,000. It might be 25,000. Or 22,000. Or 27,500. No one knows, because DLR is still not operating. But to say it had no impact is wrong - the number would be less then 28k.
They're keeping roughly 70% of their Cast Members. Do you really think it would take 71% of their Cast Members to open the park?
And as I said before, do you think they will rehire any of those people back, if they get the OK to reopen tomorrow?
Josh D'Amaro: "...exacerbated in California by the State’s unwillingness to lift restrictions that would allow Disneyland to reopen..."
It is completely within Disney's interest to pin this on the government. It will make it far easier to attract those people back, if they feel Disney wasn't the instigator (they were). But as
@lazyboy97o pointed out, if they had specifics about how the reopening was exacerbated, they would have provided them. As worded above, we can take this to mean that still being closed makes it more sad and depressing, but doesn't really change the numbers.
So you don't think the extended CA lockdown/closure of DL played a role? In at least the number of layoffs.
In the spirit of compromise, maybe on some grand, overarching, nebulous way, maybe? Maybe if the parks were open a few months earlier, and the indications were that it was safe to travel, bookings might be slightly above what they are now. But I would still think it would be an marginal difference at best. Maybe 1 to 2%. The bigger factor would be the health and safety of the travel industry in the US as a whole, and not just what is happening in California.
Typically the way long term forecasting goes, they will operate within a possible range and make decisions that are essentially the safest bet. So if their long term forecast is indicating that attendance could be down 40-50%, eliminating 30% of your workforce makes sense, because you will still have a buffer if the long term forecast turns out to be closer to the 40% than the 50%. It also gives you the option of cutting more cast in the future if the forecast trends more toward the 50%, rather than trying to scramble to rehire people later.
The 30% is the safe bet.