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2022 Box Office Tracking

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Welcome to the 2022 Box Office Tracking thread! This year is going to be great for movies. Now that this thread is located in the TV Shows, Movies, and Music subforum, expect more analysis on more movies. Plus, scroll down to the posts below and see the breakdowns for the five major studios in the movie business right now. Very excited to see how this year goes as there are so many exciting releases coming our way.

Top 10 Domestic Chart (as of 1/16/22)
  1. Spider-Man: No Way Home - $125.7M
  2. Sing 2 - $42.8M
  3. Scream - $30.6M
  4. The King's Man - $12.4M
  5. American Underdog - $8.8M
  6. The 355 - $8.4M
  7. The Matrix Resurrections - $7.6M
  8. West Side Story - $5.5M
  9. Licorice Pizza - $4.1M
  10. Ghostbusters: Afterlife - $3.7M

Upcoming 2022 Releases

February
  • Moonfall - February 4, 2022 (Lionsgate)
  • Jackass Forever - February 4, 2022 (Paramount Pictures)
  • Death on the Nile - February 11, 2022 (20th Century Studios)
  • Marry Me - February 11, 2022 (Universal Pictures)
  • Uncharted - February 18, 2022 (Sony Pictures)
  • Dog - February 18, 2022 (United Artists Releasing)

March
  • The Batman - March 4, 2022 (Warner Brothers)
  • Downton Abbey: A New Era - March 18, 2022 (Focus Features)
  • The Unbreakable Boy - March 18, 2022 (Lionsgate)
  • The Lost City - March 25, 2022 (Paramount Pictures)
 
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NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
The Big Five's Worldwide Totals

2022 Disney Worldwide Totals
  • Death on the Nile (20th) - February 11, 2022
  • Untitled film (Sea) - April 8th 2022
  • Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (Marvel) - May 6, 2022
  • The Bob's Burgers Movie (20th) - May 27, 2022
  • Untitled film (Sea) - June 10, 2022
  • Lightyear (Pixar) - June 17, 2022
  • Thor: Love and Thunder (Marvel) - July 8, 2022
  • Untitled film (Sea) - August 12, 2022
  • Untitled film (20th) - September 23, 2022
  • Untitled David O. Russell project (20th) - November 4, 2022
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Marvel) - November 11, 2022
  • Strange World - November 23, 2022
  • Avatar 2 (20th) - December 16, 2022
  • Untitled Film (20th) - December 23, 2022


2022 Universal Worldwide Totals
  • The 355 - $11M
  • Marry Me - February 11, 2022
  • Easter Sunday - April 1, 2022
  • Ambulance - April 8, 2022
  • The Bad Guys - April 22, 2022
  • Jurassic World: Dominion - June 10, 2022
  • The Black Phone - June 24, 2022
  • Minions: The Rise of Gru - July 1, 2022
  • Nope - July 22, 2022
  • Beast - August 19, 2022
  • Distant - September 16, 2022
  • Puss in Boots: The Last Wish - September 23, 2022
  • Bros - September 30, 2022
  • TÁR - October 7, 2022
  • Halloween Ends - October 14, 2022
  • Ticket to Paradise - October 21, 2022
  • She Said - November 18, 2022
  • The Fabelmans - November 22, 2023
  • Untitled Mario film - December 21, 2022
Total: $11M


2022 Warner Bros Worldwide Totals
  • The Batman - March 4, 2022
  • Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore - April 15, 2022
  • DC League of Super-Pets - May 20, 2022
  • Elvis - June 24, 2022
  • Black Adam - July 29, 2022
  • Salem's Lot - September 9, 2022
  • Don't Worry Darling - September 23, 2022
  • The Flash - November 4, 2022
  • Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom - December 16, 2022

2022 Sony Worldwide Totals
  • Uncharted - February 18, 2022
  • Morbius - April 1, 2022
  • 65 - April 22, 2022
  • Oh Hell No - July 1, 2022
  • Bullet Train - July 15, 2022
  • The Man from Toronto - August 12, 2022
  • Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse Part One - October 7, 2022
  • Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile - November 18, 2022

2022 Paramount Worldwide Totals
  • Scream - $48.6M
  • The Tiger Rising - January 21, 2022
  • Jackass Forever - February 4, 2022
  • The Lost City - March 25, 2022
  • Sonic the Hedgehog 2 - April 8, 2022
  • Blazing Samurai - July 22, 2022
  • Secret Headquarters - August 12, 2022
  • Untitled Bee Gees biopic - November 4, 2022
  • Babylon - December 25, 2022
Total: $48.6M
 
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NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
2022 is here, and it is starting with a bang! Before diving into this weeks numbers, there is a final 2021 headline out right now. From Deadline: "Comscore has estimated the 2021 domestic box office at $4.55B, which is +100% from last year’s $2.28 billion and off 60% from 2019’s $11.4 billion." That is not bad, but it shows that we are far away from reaching old status. However, Deadline also points out that "Box office data corp Gower Analytics...predicts 2022 will soar to $9.2 billion." That is much better than this year and will for sure reach to new heights with the large release schedule.

As for this past weekend, there were no new films. So that left all the Christmas movies to try and win audiences' attention. Spider-Man: No Way Home easily took the number 1 spot once again as it only fell -38% in its third weekend. With no huge competition this Friday, it should be able to hold on to the top spot before Scream hits. Sing 2 was in spot #2 as it is a just a few million off from besting Encanto. It is not surprising that this happened as Sing is already an established IP and Encanto is already on Disney+. The King's Man was able to move UP two spots to #3 as it fell only -24% in its 2nd weekend. Yes, the film did open small, but it is the best in franchise. American Underdog held on to its #4 spot with a -31% fall. Lastly, The Matrix Resurrections stumbled big time with a -64%. With only a $3.8M weekend total, it looks like the film can only count on international numbers to save it.

Notable Totals:
  • Ghostbusters: Afterlife went UP 17% more than a month after its release!
  • Encanto fell 42% due to the Disney+ release
  • Nightmare Alley, House of Gucci, Eternals, and The French Dispatch all fell under 20%
  • The Matrix Resurrections and A Journal for Jordan were the only other films to fall more than 40%
As for this Friday, we have the first new wide release of the year! Universal Pictures has their all-female action flick The 355. However, do not expect it do anything amazing as there has hardly been any promotion, the director is the guy who Dark Phoenix, and all-female films hardly ever do well.

1.) Spider-Man: No Way Home (Sony) 4,206 (-130) theaters, Fri $15.4M /Sat $23M/ Sun $14.3M/3-day $52.7M (-38%)/ Total: $610M/Wk 3

2.) Sing 2 (Uni/Ill) 3,892 theaters, Fri $6.4M/Sat $7.75M/Sun $5.4M/3-day $19.6M (-12%)/Total: $89.68M/Wk 2

3.) The King’s Man (20th/Dis) 3,180 theaters Fri $1.25M/Sat $1.95M/Sun $1.3M/3-day $4.5M (-24%)/Total $19.5M/Wk 2

4.) American Underdog (LG) 2,813 theaters, Fri $1.35M/Sat $1.6M/Sun $1.08M/3-day: $4.075M (-31%)/Total: $15M/Wk 2

5.) Matrix Resurrections (WB) 3,552 theaters, Fri $1.05M /Sat $1.635M/Sun $1.14M/3-day $3.825M (-64%)/Total: $30.9M/Wk 2

6.) West Side Story (20th/Dis) 2,690 (-130) theaters, Fri $700K/Sat $850K/Sun $550K/3-day $2.1M (-25%)/Total $29.56M/Wk 4

7.) Ghostbusters: Afterlife (Sony) 1,645 (-83) theaters Fri $435K/Sat $620K/Sun $380K/3-day $1.435M (+17%)/Total: $123.4M/ Wk 7

8.) Licorice Pizza (UAR) 786 (+781) theaters, Fri $356K (+5k%)/Sat $541K/Sun $352K/3-day $1.249M (-35%)/Total $6.3M/Wk 6

9.) A Journal for Jordan (Sony) 2,500 theaters, Fri $335K/Sat $525K/Sun $380K/3-day: $1.175M (-47%)/Total: $4.74M/Wk 2

10.) Encanto (Dis) 2,425 (-375) theaters, Fri $340K/Sat $425K/Sun $285K/3-day $1.05M (-42%)/Total $91.3M/Wk 6

11.) Nightmare Alley (Sea) 1,910 (-225)Fri $275K /Sat $425K/Sun $272K/3-day: $972K (-17%)/Total $7.6M/Wk 3


 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Now for the worldwide totals! These numbers usually take a bit longer to come out, so I will update this post throughout the day.

Spider-Man: No Way Home has made $1.37B in the global box office. This makes the film the 12th highest-grossing film of all time worldwide. Sing 2 has a global total of $144.6M. The film is still far behind the first film's $600M total, but there are still plenty of big locations left. The King's Man has a global total of $47.8M. This is well behind the $400M global totals that each Kingsman films have. The Matrix Resurrections has a global total of $106M. This is similar to Sing 2 as it is far from its predecessors, but it is has big locations left, like China.

Clifford The Big Red Dog (PAR): $4.1M intl weekend (45 markets); $31.9M intl cume
Encanto (DIS): $3.5M intl weekend (36 markets); $114.4M intl cume/$205.7M global (opens in China this weekend)
House Of Gucci (UNI): $3.16M intl weekend (45 Uni markets); $76.7M intl cume/$125.6M global
Ghostbusters: Afterlife (SNY): $2.7M intl weekend (47 markets); $61.3M intl cume/$184.7M
West Side Story (DIS): $1.9M intl weekend (23 markets); $17.6M intl cume/$47.2M global

 
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Jedijax719

Well-Known Member
We will continue to be inundated with superhero films. But a few other sequels to major franchises will mix things up a tiny (or big) bit. Here are my predictions for the top 15 domestic titles in 2022:

1. Avatar 2
2. Doctor Strange: Multiverse of Madness
3. The Batman
4. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
5. Jurassic World: Dominion
6. Thor: Love and Thunder
7. Lightyear (if Disney releases it to theaters for a full run)
8. Aquaman: The Lost Kingdom
9. Despicable Me: Rise of Gru
10. The Flash
11. Across the Spiderverse
12. Top Gun 2
13. Strange World (if Disney releases it to theaters for a full run)
14. Mission Impossible 7
15. Black Adam
 

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
We will continue to be inundated with superhero films. But a few other sequels to major franchises will mix things up a tiny (or big) bit. Here are my predictions for the top 15 domestic titles in 2022:

1. Avatar 2
2. Doctor Strange: Multiverse of Madness
3. The Batman
4. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
5. Jurassic World: Dominion
6. Thor: Love and Thunder
7. Lightyear (if Disney releases it to theaters for a full run)
8. Aquaman: The Lost Kingdom
9. Despicable Me: Rise of Gru
10. The Flash
11. Across the Spiderverse
12. Top Gun 2
13. Strange World (if Disney releases it to theaters for a full run)
14. Mission Impossible 7
15. Black Adam

Is that a prediction that Black Panther drops significantly or that Doctor Strange and Batman do gangbusters?
 

Jedijax719

Well-Known Member
Is that a prediction that Black Panther drops significantly or that Doctor Strange and Batman do gangbusters?
The latter. Strange because of being the first MCU movie after the monster that is No Way Home and the build up of Strange. The Batman because, even with Spidey's success, Batman is still the most popular superhero. To me it's a match between BP2 and Batman for #3.

And BP2 just can't seem to catch a break. Between the tragic loss of Boseman, the public desire for him to be recast, and the issues with Letitia Wright and all her controversy, I will have to see the first light of day for that movie before I officially move it past #4. It could even be #5.
 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
We have our first release date shift of the year. Morbius has moved from January 28 to April 1 due to continuing success of No Way Home and Omicron. The only big movies left for this month are The 355 and Scream, with only the latter bound to do well. Other than that, January is pretty much done after next weekend with only smaller films coming out.

Morbius now goes up against The Contractor (STX) and Easter Sunday (Uni)

 

Jedijax719

Well-Known Member
I wonder which in the following pairs of movies will change their release dates:

Flash-November 4/Black Panther 2-November 11.
Black Panther will be the higher earner. Both cannot be released back to back.

Aquaman 2/Avatar 2-both December 16.
There's NO way this is going to happen. Avatar 2 will undoubtedly be the bigger one and likely be the biggest movie of the year.

However, will DC/WB move BOTH of these titles out of 2022? They've taken a beating with their most recent films and Fantastic Beasts probably won't do that well. The Batman will do very very well though so they have that definite success clear of competition.

It will be interesting to see what happens. I will guess that both Flash and Aquaman2 will be changed.
 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster

Jedijax719

Well-Known Member

Cool list, but I think there is a 99.99999% chance Aquaman 2 will move to the Spring, 2023.

I keep thinking of how epic 2022 will be even if a movie or two move. And it's not all Disney either.

Surprised that Lightyear and/or Minions or The Flash aren't on the list. Maybe the first two due to who was surveyed. But I'd think that The Flash would be above Mission Impossible. Let's see if I can dig up some more surveys.
 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
The first new film of 2022 is DOA, and nobody is surprised. Spider-Man: No Way Home and Sing 2 were easily able to top The 355 this weekend at the box office. The 355 came in third with a $4.8M opening weekend total. This low number is due to Omicron and the negative reviews/word of mouth. As for No Way Home and Sing 2, there is still money for them to make as they made $33M and $12M this weekend, respectively. After Sing 2 has crossed the century mark, should Disney have not sent Turning Red to Disney+. Deadline points out, like others here have, that animated original movies are hard to launch. However, Turning Red has a larger presence online than some previous Disney films during this stage of marketing. Yet, who knows where we will be in 2 months.

It seems that Spidey and Sing 2 are the only ones that could hold on to totals higher than $5M because the rest of the film in the marketplace all earned under $5M.

Notable totals:
  • Encanto fell 49% after 2 weeks on Disney+
  • The Matrix Resurrections and A Journal for Jordan were the only other films to fall more than 50%
  • C'mon C'mon (+2%) and Parallel Mothers (+146%) were the only films to increase this weekend
  • No Way Home is the 6th highest grossing film domestically
Theater Count:
  • Highest Theater Count Loss:
    • Encanto (-975)
  • Lowest Theater Count Loss:
    • C'mon C'mon (none)

As for this Friday, Ghostface returns to the big screen with Scream. While reviews don't come out till Wednesday 12AM PST, social media reactions have been stellar. Plus, the promotion has been handled very nicely. Right now, the film is predicted to open at #1 with a $30M-$40M opening weekend total.

1.) Spider-Man: No Way Home (Sony) 4,012 (-194) theaters, Fri $8.3M (-46%) /Sat $14.75M/Sun $9.96M/ 3-day $33M (-41%)/ Total: $668.7M/Wk 4

2.) Sing 2 (Uni/Ill) 3,713 (-179) theaters, Fri $2.67M (-59%)/Sat $5.4M/Sun $3.8M/3-day $11.95M (-41%)/Total: $109M/Wk 3

3.) The 355 (Uni/FilmNation) 3,145 theaters, Fri $1.72M/Sat $1.87M/Sun $1.2M/3-day $4.8M/Wk 1


4.) The King’s Man (20th/Dis) 3,040 (-140) theaters Fri $900K (-28%)/Sat $1.4M/Sun $949K/3-day $3.27M (-28%)/Total $25.1M/Wk 3

5.) American Underdog (LG) 2,729 (-84) theaters, Fri $723K/Sat $1.08M/Sun $610K/3-day: $2.4M (-38%)/Total: $18.8M/Wk 3

6.) Matrix Resurrections (WB) 2,875 (-677) theaters, Fri $500K (-52%) /3-day $1.86M (-51%)/Total: $34.3M/Wk 3

7.) West Side Story (20th/Dis) 2,290 (-400) theaters, Fri $383K (-45%)/Sat $618K/Sun $412K/3-day $1.4M (-33%)/Total $32.1M/Wk 5

8.) Ghostbusters: Afterlife (Sony) 1,501 (-144) theaters Fri $267K (-39%)/Sat $545K/ Sun $328K/ 3-day $1.14M (-22%)/Total: $125M/ Wk 8

9.) Licorice Pizza (UAR) 772 (-14) theaters, Fri $286K (-20%)/Sat $437K/Sun $306K/3-day $1.03M (-21%)/Total $8.2M/Wk 7

10.) House of Gucci (UAR) 607 (-100) theaters, Fri $176K (-9%)/Sat $277K/Sun $180K/3-day $632K (-21%)/Total $50.1M/Wk 8

11.) A Journal for Jordan (Sony) 1,850 (-650) theaters Fri $163K/Sat $283K/Sun $159K/3-day $605K (-50%)/Total $5.9M/Wk 3

12.) Nightmare Alley (Sea) 1,200 (-710) theaters Fri $172K/Sat $262K/Sun $158K/3-day $592K (-39%)/Total: $8.7M/Wk 4


 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Now for the worldwide totals! These numbers usually take a bit longer to come out, so I will update this post throughout the day.

Spider-Man: No Way Home is now the 8th highest grossing film of all time! The film currently has a $1.53B worldwide total. Sing 2 is close to beating Encanto ($215.5M) again with a $190.1M worldwide total. The King’s Man is an international heavy film with with a near $50M international total of a $74.3M total. The Matrix Resurrections has made $124.5M worldwide with a China release this coming weekend.

House Of Gucci (UNI): $4M intl weekend (46 Uni markets only); $77.5M intl cume/$127.5M global
West Side Story (DIS): $1.6M intl weekend (15 markets); $20.9M intl cume/$53.1M global
Clifford The Big Red Dog (PAR): $3.4M intl weekend (42 markets); $38.7M intl cume/$87.6M global
Ghostbusters: Afterlife (SNY): $2M intl weekend (34 markets); $66.1M intl cume/$191.2M global

 
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Jedijax719

Well-Known Member
NWH will surpass Infinity War domestically within the next 2-4. By the end of next weekend (long weekend for many), it will top Black Panther (my favorite MCU movie).

It is going to be down to the wire between NWH and Avatar for third place when all is said and done. It will end up being #6 all time world wide. I'm guessing between $1.7 and $1.8 billion WW.
 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Looks like Scream was able to put some people into theaters with an estimated $30M 3-day and $35M 4-day. While this is not the best of the franchise, it is only a few million behind the OW of Scream 2 and 3. While this is lower than both the OW for A Quiet Place 2 and Halloween Kills, Scream has no competition until February 4th. Both AQP2 and HK had major new releases coming out the same day/the following weeks. Plus, with this film only costing $24M, there could be a small profit after the advertising total is added in. It looks like No Way Home has finished its #1 reign at the box office as it will have a $25M 4-day total. Sing 2 and The King's Man both continue to fall small with a -29% and -28% decrease, respectively. Although, only one of those films is truly successful. The 355 took spot #5 and fell -49% in its 2nd weekend. It is not the worst, but it still shows that the film is a huge flop.

Notable totals:
  • The Matrix Resurrections, A Journal for Jordan, Nightmare Alley, Encanto, and Eternalswere the films to fall more than 50%
    • Eternals fell -65% because it is now on D+
  • Drive My Car (+85%) was the only film to increase this week.
  • Spider-Man: No Way Home is now the 5th highest grossing film domestically
Theater Count:
  • Highest Theater Count Loss:
    • A Journal For Jordan (-1,185)
  • Lowest Theater Count Loss:
    • The 355 (none)

Like I stated earlier, there is hardly any competition for the next two weeks as it is just smaller wide releases. The King's Daughter and Redeeming Love open wide next Friday.

1.) Scream (Par) 3,664 theaters Fri $13.3M/Sat $10.1M/ Sun $8.1M/Mon $4.5M/3-day $30.6M, 4-day $35M/Wk 1 (note: Deadline has different totals, but other outlets are saying $30.6M. Therefore, I changed it.)

2.) Spider-Man: No Way Home(Sony) 3,925 (-87) theaters, Fri $5.2M (-38%) /Sat $8.675M/Sun $6.9M/Mon $5.2M/3-day $20.8M (-36%)/4-day $26M/Total: $703.9M/Wk 4

3.) Sing 2 (Uni/Ill) 3,581 (-132) theaters, Fri $1.79M (-33%)/Sat $3.57M/Sun $2.89M/Mon $2.75M/3-day $8.27M (-29%)/4-day $11M/Total: $122.1M/Wk 4

4.) The King’s Man (20th/Dis) 2,510 (-530) theaters Fri $639K (-29%)/Sat $937K /Sun $743K/Mon $654K/ 3-day $2.3M (-28%)/4-day $2.9M /Total $29.3M/Wk 4

5.) The 355 (Uni/FilmNation) 3,145 theaters, Fri $670K (-61%)/Sat $950K/Sun $720K/Mon $470K/3-day $2.34M (-49%)/4-day $2.8M /Total $8.9M/Wk 2

6.) American Underdog (LG) 2,512 (-335) theaters, Fri $500K (-30%)/3-day: $1.6M (-21%)/4 day $2.26M/Total: $21.067M/Wk 4

7.) Belle (GKIDS) 1,326 theaters Fri $727K/Sat $486K/Sun $432K/Mon $395K/3-day $1.64M/4-day $2.04M/Wk 1

8.) West Side Story (20th/Dis) 1,460 (-830) theaters, Fri $238K (-38%)/Sat $386K/Sun $324K/Mon 3-day $948K (-31%)/4-day $1.15M/Total $33.9M/Wk 6

9.) Licorice Pizza (UAR) 772 theaters, Fri $252K (-11%)/Sat $360K/Sun $270K/Mon $203k/3-day $883K (-10%)/4-day $1.086M/Total $9.8M/Wk 8

10.) Matrix Resurrections (WB) 1,725 (-1,150) theaters, Fri $220K (-55%) /Sat $340K/Sun $255K/Mon3-day $815K (-56%)/4 day $1M/Total: $36M/Wk 4



 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Another round of release date changes were put out yesterday.
  • Mission: Impossible 7
    • September 30, 2022 ---> July 14, 2023
  • Mission: Impossible 8
    • July 7, 2023 ---> June 28, 2024
  • Bros
    • August 12, 2022 ---> September 30, 2022
  • Blazing Samurai
    • Undated ---> July 22, 2022
    • Replaced Under the Boardwalk


 

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