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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Discussion in 'NHC updates' started by WDWMAGIC News Robot, Jul 17, 2017.

  1. WDWMAGIC News Robot

    WDWMAGIC News Robot New Member

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    ABNT20 KNHC 171146
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2017

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    An area of low pressure located about 750 miles east of the Windward
    Islands is moving westward at about 15 mph. The associated shower
    and thunderstorm activity continues to show some signs of
    organization, but the system appears to lack a well-defined center
    at this time. Environmental conditions are conducive for some
    additional development before the system reaches the Lesser Antilles
    late Tuesday or early Wednesday. After that time, less favorable
    upper-level winds are expected to hinder additional development.
    Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring locally
    heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Lesser Antilles
    beginning late Tuesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
    aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

    An area of disturbed weather is located about 800 miles west-
    southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of
    this system is possible over the next few days while it moves slowly
    toward the west-northwest or northwest over the open Atlantic Ocean.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Brown

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