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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Discussion in 'NHC updates' started by WDWMAGIC News Robot, Jun 19, 2017 at 2:24 PM.

  1. WDWMAGIC News Robot

    WDWMAGIC News Robot New Member

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    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 191757
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2017

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
    Tropical Cyclone Two, located a couple hundred miles east-southeast
    of the southern Windward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

    A broad area of low pressure extends from north of the Yucatan
    Peninsula across adjacent portions of the southern Gulf of Mexico.
    This system is producing a large area of disorganized shower and
    thunderstorm activity well east and northeast of the low over much
    of the eastern Gulf of Mexico. While this system does not have a
    well-defined surface circulation, satellite wind data indicate that
    tropical-storm-force winds are occuring in a band 100 to 150 miles
    northeast of the broad low. Upper-level winds are expected to be
    marginally conducive for some additional development of this system
    during the next day or two while it moves northward to northwestward
    into the central Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical or subtropical
    cyclone is likely to form during that time. Regardless of
    development, interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central
    Texas coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the
    progress of this system, as a tropical storm watch or warning could
    be needed for portions of this area later today.

    Also, heavy rains are expected to continue over portions of Central
    America, the Yucatan Peninsula, the Cayman Islands, western Cuba,
    the Florida Keys, the Florida Peninsula, and spread into central and
    eastern portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast during the next day or two.
    An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
    investigate this system this afternoon. For more information on this
    system, please see the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
    Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

    &&

    Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued under
    WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
    Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued
    under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
    found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
    on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

    $$
    Forecaster Brennan

    Continue reading...
     

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