Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017
000
WTNT24 KNHC 230251
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0300 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 49.0W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 49.0W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 49.0W
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 32.2N 48.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.5N 47.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 32.4N 46.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.1N 45.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.3N 43.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 30.0N 42.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 29.5N 43.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 49.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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000
WTNT24 KNHC 230251
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0300 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 49.0W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 49.0W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 49.0W
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 32.2N 48.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.5N 47.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 32.4N 46.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.1N 45.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.3N 43.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 30.0N 42.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 29.5N 43.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 49.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Continue reading...